The return of rain and snow to our country and temperatures in line with seasonal averages is expected in the next few days. Taking stock of the meteorological picture that awaits us during the Carnival period is Paolo Sottocorona, meteorologist and former Air Force officer. At Fanpage.it the expert anticipated the arrival of a cold phase, after the long period of high pressure.
Interview with Paolo Sottocorona
Meteorologist, science communicator and former Air Force officer.
“Until Friday we will still have a similar meteorological situation to that of recent days, with above average values and a lack of precipitation . Then a passage of colder air is expected which from the weekend onwards will cause temperatures to drop, even if they will not be particularly rigid, let's rather say that they will be normal for this season. However, we must think that the period between January 15th and February 15th is still considered the coldest of the year”.
Taking stock of the meteorological picture that awaits us during the Carnival period (8-14 February) is Paolo Sottocorona, meteorologist, scientific communicator and former Air Force officer. At Fanpage.it the expert anticipated the arrival of a cold phase , after the long period of high pressure . The African anticyclone that has stationed itself over Italy in recent days has brought clear weather from North to South and temperatures well above seasonal averages.
“If we look at the maximum temperatures , in the past few days they have been much, much higher. While the minimum temperatures have fluctuated a lot, depending on whether the sky was clear or cloudy. In the first case we had very low temperatures: in Rome, for example, of at night it even reached below zero, while during the day the values even rose up to 16 degrees, decidedly above the average . Let's say that the highs and lows are as if they followed different paths. They are related, but have different mechanisms”, he specifies Undercrown.
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Over the weekend, as explained by the expert, we will therefore see a decisive change in trend: ” Precipitation will return, even of a certain consistency, and normal temperatures for the season. After this phase, having to look further and talk about the week again next, therefore arriving until the end of February, there could also be a colder than average passage . However, these cannot be considered predictions, we are rather talking about a trend, because we go beyond the limit of the plausible”,
The high pressure that remained over the Mediterranean for many days, adds Sottocorona, “prevented the disturbances from entering our country. These in fact passed to the North, over England, Germany, northern Europe, with some cold periods and rains which we, however, did not have. Now this high pressure will drop, so the disturbances will follow their physiological path: they will enter 'lower', further south than they have done in recent weeks, so air will also arrive in the Mediterranean a a little colder and precipitation”.
Weather, where snow and storms will arrive over the weekend: the forecast
As explained by the meteorologist, we must therefore wait for the return of precipitation in the next few days. “As for the snow , on the Apennines it will arrive at altitudes above 1500 metres, therefore 'high up', and I fear that there won't be a lot of it. While in the Alpine areas , especially the central-western ones, less so in the eastern ones, the altitude will drop to 1000-1200 , and there the quantities will be greater. This is positive because the snow that falls there will feed rivers and glaciers.”
Speaking instead of the rains, Sottocorona observes that ” they should arrive in the Northern and Central Regions , a little less in the South. There will certainly be little in the Southern Regions, such as Sicily, Calabria and Puglia, perhaps some rain will arrive in Campania instead” .
Particularly violent phenomena must be ruled out at the moment. The expert says: “The models to date do not give alarming situations with particularly heavy rainfall, but we could make more precise forecasts and understand if there will be something more intense when we are within 48/72 hours of the phenomena. For now let's talk of light to moderate rainfall , abundant only locally , in some areas. This is what the maps tell us at the moment.”